LLMs aren’t capable of maintaining an even remotely convincing simulacrum of human connection,
Eh, maybe, maybe not. 99% of the human-written stuff in IM chats, or posted to social media, is superficial fluff that a fine-tuned LLM should have no problem imitating. It’s still relatively easy to recognize AI models outputs in their default settings, because of their characteristic earnest/helpful tone and writing style, but that’s quite easily adjustable.
One example worth considering: people are already using fine tuned LLMs to copilot tabletop RPGs, with decent success. In that setting, you don’t need fine literature, just a “good enough” quality of prose. And that is already far exceeding the average quality that you see in social media.
Deepseek trained their v3 model for $6M. That’s the AI equivalent of building it in a cave with a pile of scraps. There’s no longer any reasonable way to stop China from developing frontier models.