LLM everything. Nobody who is selling AI services is making any money on it. OpenAI is burning tens of billions a year without even a concept of a sellable product, Microsoft is losing billions on OpenAI, and Amazon made 5B revenue on a 120B investment (and negative profit). Nobody who is using these LLMs is paying the full cost, and hardly anyone actually uses them for anything real. Productivity hasn’t gone up for the vast majority of companies using it, and only ignorant management is pushing it hard.

I’ll give it three years until it all falls apart, and that’s very generous.

It doesn’t go without saying. I disagree about physical media. It’s one of the few ways to guarantee you actually own the thing you bought. People still buy brand new vinyl.

Technology rarely disappears completely, but it does usually fades into hobbyist and collector territory.

To answer the question, I don’t think SMS will be around much longer. It has many problems and is already being replaced by many different standards that are better in every way.

Windows.