LLM everything. Nobody who is selling AI services is making any money on it. OpenAI is burning tens of billions a year without even a concept of a sellable product, Microsoft is losing billions on OpenAI, and Amazon made 5B revenue on a 120B investment (and negative profit). Nobody who is using these LLMs is paying the full cost, and hardly anyone actually uses them for anything real. Productivity hasn’t gone up for the vast majority of companies using it, and only ignorant management is pushing it hard.
I’ll give it three years until it all falls apart, and that’s very generous.
Thats assuming that future iterations of the models cost as much as the current models do to run.
Not at all. It’s assuming they don’t suddenly drop in cost 99%
I came here to say exactly this. Well done.
It doesn’t go without saying. I disagree about physical media. It’s one of the few ways to guarantee you actually own the thing you bought. People still buy brand new vinyl.
Technology rarely disappears completely, but it does usually fades into hobbyist and collector territory.
To answer the question, I don’t think SMS will be around much longer. It has many problems and is already being replaced by many different standards that are better in every way.
This is true about analog mediums but a good amount of modern digital media has DRM even if it’s physical.
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This happened in the past, and will happen in the future.
Offline DRM historically has always been broken eventually, and when it gets cracked, it stays cracked. They can’t change it or take it away from you like streaming.
Blu-ray DRM is the most cutting edge, and it’s pretty easy to crack right now.
Windows.
I doubt DVD or Blurays are going away that soon, I could even see it making a comeback as people figure out that it is an objectively better product
It’s objectively worse from a profit standpoint, so I can definitely see them disappearing outside of secondhand sales
Waiting for blurays to just come with an activation code like a lot of PC game copies do already
